Bio

I am a retired university professor based in Miami Beach, Florida, and I spend my time mainly in research, lecturing and private investment and consulting activity around the world.

I received my PhD in 1971 at 26 years of age from the University of Wisconsin-Madison. But I began working as an Instructor at the Massachusetts Institute of Technology in 1970, about a year before I finished my doctoral thesis. I sorely needed the income.

I left MIT as an Associate Professor in 1978 to take a chair at Harvard University as a Professor of Government. At both Harvard and MIT I specialized in macro-political economy and applied multivariate statistics and econometrics.

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Academic Papers and Book Chapters


“The Bread and Peace Model: 2012 Presidential Election Postmortem”
  PS: Political Science and Politics, January 2013, 41 pdf16


“Obama’s Re-election Prospects Under ‘Bread and Peace’ Voting in the 2012 US Presidential Election”
  PS: Political Science and Politics, October 2012, 635-639 pdf16 StataProgramFile         StataDataFile


“The 2010 Midterm Election for the US House of Representatives”
September 22 2010 pdf16


“Tax Toleration and Tax Compliance: How Government Affects the Propensity of Firms to Enter the Unofficial Economy”
  (with Violeta Piculescu), American Journal of Political Science, vol. 54, no.1, 2010, 18-33 pdf16 Appendix of Proofsstata-13StataMainProgramFile                  StataMainDataFile          StataDataBuildProgramFile         StataInputDataFile1          StataInputDataFile2


“Implications of the ‘Bread and Peace’ Model for the 2008 US Presidential Election”
  Public Choice, vol. 137, 2008, 1-10 pdf16

stata-13StataProgramFile         StataDataFile


“Labor Market Regimes and the Effects of Monetary Policy”
  (with N. Acocella and G. Di Bartolomeo), Journal of Macroeconomics, vol. 30, 2008, 134-156 pdf16


“The Economy, the War in Iraq and the 2004 Presidential Election”
  revised 18 April 2007 and rejected by the Quarterly Journal of Political Science pdf16

Brief Essay on “Political Parties and Macroeconomic Policy”  for the One-Hundredth Anniversary issue of the American Political Science Review, vol. 100, November 2006, 670-71 (solicited because the original 1977 article ranked 2nd on the all-time list of most cited APSR articles) pdf16


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